1 % Initial working probabilities
7 % Dependencies between burglars
8 burglary <- joe & jack.
9 burglary <- joe & william.
10 burglary <- joe & william & jack.
11 burglary <- joe & william & jack & averall.
13 % Probabilities that holmes will be hit
14 prob holmes1: 1/10000.
15 prob holmes2: (9999/10000)*1/9999.
16 prob holmes3: (9999/10000)*(9998/9999)*(1/9998).
17 holmes <- burglary & holmes1.
18 holmes <- burglary & holmes2.
19 holmes <- burglary & holmes3.