P(\text{first house is holmes'})+
P(\text{second house is holmes'})+
P(\text{third house is holmes'})\right)=\\
-0.5102040816326531\cdot\left(
+0.5102041\cdot\left(
\frac{1}{10000}+
\frac{9999}{10000}\cdot\frac{1}{9999}+
\frac{9999}{10000}\cdot\frac{9998}{9999}\cdot\frac{1}{9998}\right)=
\frac{3}{19600}\approx0.000153$
\section{Bayesian networks}
-TODOOOOOOOOOOO
+