+Now that we have modelled the story with the corresponding probabilities, we can have ailog calculate some other probabilities given a some observations. Down below we wrote down some probabilties and the associated ailog output. \\
+The chance that a burglary happens given that Watson calls is greater than the chance that a burglary happens without this observations, as is observerd by the difference between a and b. This makes sense as Watson calls rightly in 80\% of the time. So when Holmes receives a call by Watson, the chance that the alarm goes of increases. \\
+When we compare b to c, the same mechanisme holds. There are more observations that give evidence for a burglary as both Watson and Gibbons have called in the case of c. \\
+When you take a look at the last case, d, you see that the probability has decreased compared to c. This can be explained by an observation that is added on top of the observations of b; the radio. The variable Radio means that the newcast tells that there was an earhquake. As that is also a reason why the alarm could go of, but has nothing to do with a burglary, it decreases the probability of a burglary.
+%We kunnen misschien de kans uitrekenen dat Watson en Gibbons allebei foutief bellen? Daar mis je denk ik info over of niet?